Hello all, the pig is back in action!
In the spirit of drafting and nostalgia, I thought it'd be fun to do a draft analysis for 2011 and 2012. This is how my analysis was set up:
In the spirit of drafting and nostalgia, I thought it'd be fun to do a draft analysis for 2011 and 2012. This is how my analysis was set up:
- Key field is offensive rank (aka Arian Foster's rank is 1, and so forth)
- 2011 data is based on final offensive rank in the Yahoo system. 2011 teams are purely what you drafted starting the season (so doesn't measure management strength).
- 2012 data is based on the current projection (we know these will change)
- First analysis is for total team... what is your average offensive rank for the entire team?
- Second analysis is for your key contributors (in versus out in the excel sheet). Keeping only the 11 players with the highest o-ranking on your team (9 starters, 2 subs).
So without further ado, here are the 2011 results!
Interesting, yeah?
Here are the 2012 results:
Now, let's combine everything together and see who has had the most success drafting in the past two years:
No analysis is complete, the pig admits. The biggest flaw here (outside of me being best drafter) is obviously that 2012 projections are not really accurate, especially since there are sleepers everywhere. Starting out the gate is pretty important, however, and this is my attempt at some normalized numbers behind a preliminary power ranking for "best drafter."
Real power rankings to come later when I feel like procrastinating again.
Real power rankings to come later when I feel like procrastinating again.
Till next time,
Pig.
Update 3:30PM
Justina pointed out a few things...
1. The original analysis was done using the final team rosters, not the drafted rosters. I've corrected that mistake and here is the new consolidated 2-year result:
2. OK yea we're using 2011 final O-Ranking versus 2012 projected O-Ranking. It's not apples to apples, but the point of drafting is to find the people who WILL be the best at the end of the year. However, because we don't have those stats for 2012 yet, we have to go with the projected O-Ranking for now. Should be interesting to see how the results of this change at the end of the season.
Update 3:30PM
Justina pointed out a few things...
1. The original analysis was done using the final team rosters, not the drafted rosters. I've corrected that mistake and here is the new consolidated 2-year result:
2. OK yea we're using 2011 final O-Ranking versus 2012 projected O-Ranking. It's not apples to apples, but the point of drafting is to find the people who WILL be the best at the end of the year. However, because we don't have those stats for 2012 yet, we have to go with the projected O-Ranking for now. Should be interesting to see how the results of this change at the end of the season.
I have no idea what you just said.
ReplyDeleteUh wut.
ReplyDeleteNever mind. My analytics stink. The 2011 results are actually end of year numbers. So if anything, this is a reflection of how we'll do last year (factoring in overall 2011 team strength and 2012 initial team strength).
ReplyDeleteYeah? Yeah...