1) Here's a recap of Week 5's matchups in gif form:
a) HAMAJANG (106.14) vs. Unicorn Queen (132.84)
After watching Eli, Hyde, Rawls, and Robinson go off, Tim was like this:
And I was like this:
Luck would not begin to explain it, Tim.
b) David's Team (92.00) vs. Unicorn King (118.00)
After Sunday's games ended, I was shocked to see Andrew losing to David Li.
But then I realized Andrew still had two players left--Philip Rivers and Keenan Allen.
So "Unicorn King treated [David's Team] like a Circuit City and closed them down with a comeback on Monday." Got that straight from Yahoo's recap summary. LOL. Who knew Yahoo was so funny?
c) DeEz Nuts (68.12) vs. It's a me! Mariota! (95.94)
After OBJ decided to show up this week, David Lin was like:
Mix in another dominant performance from McManus and Denver DEF vs. Oakland:
And a weak showing from Justina's team:
And David Lin got the win. Hooray!
d) I Called Game (68.10) vs. DanceDothe#JULIO (127.92)
Did anybody see the video of the KC Royals grounds crew kid getting swallowed up by the rain tarp the other day? I'll let you take a wild guess on who the tarp is and who the kid is.
e) SpiderPig (31.56) vs. TOUCHDOWN MACHINE (89.86)
Gabs is angry:
Because James Jones keeps stealing all his TDs. But Gabs:
Because Tyrod Taylor keeps turning in all-star track performances:
And Devonta Freeman is literally ON FIRE.
Plus, you played Luke this week.
f) Di Yi (101.94) vs. Aaron Chou's Team (88.54)
After Jamaal Charles went down, Abraham was like:
But as per usual, the rest of his team (Dalton, Sanders, Chris Johnson, Gostkowski, and Arizona DEF) showed up to ready to play.
Meanwhile, Aaron's team has been in a slump the past two weeks.
2) Wow Jeff, your FF analysis is like so on point.
Nah, I just read a lot of Grantland and MMQB and type up all the most interesting points in gif form.
3) I'm starting to feel like the FF version of "Good Luck Chuck". For those of you who aren't familiar with the movie, here's a quick synopsis from Google:
"Cursed since childhood, dentist Charlie Kagan (Dane Cook) cannot find the right woman. Even worse, he learns that each of his ex-girlfriends finds true love with the man she meets after her relationship with him ends. Hearing of Charlie's reputation as a good-luck charm, women from all over line up for a quick tryst. But when Charlie meets the woman (Jessica Alba) of his dreams, he must find a way to break the curse or risk losing her to the next man she meets."
How is this related to FF? Well, let's take a look at the final scores from my first five match-ups:
Week 1: Rainbow Warriorz (77.86) vs. SpiderPig (117.92)
Week 2: Rainbow Warriorz (78.86) vs. Di Yi (112.30)
Week 3: Rainbow Warriorz (120.12) vs. TOUCHDOWN MACHINE (113.48)
Week 4: Rainbow Warriorz (75.86) vs. DanceDothe#JULIO (100.28)
Week 5: HAMAJANG (106.14) vs. Unicorn Queen (132.84)
What does this tell me? You should want to play me. You'll have a 100% chance of scoring 100+ points and an 80% chance of scoring 110+ points. Sure, it's all circumstantial evidence, but an interesting pattern nonetheless.
4) Let's take it a step further. Here are the 12 teams in our league ranked in descending order by "Pts Agnst".
a) As you can see, Duke and I have got it the worst and it ain't even close. Y'all have rain bucket loads of points on us. We are both 100+ points over the average. The next closest team? Luke, who is only about 12 points above the average.
b) Now you may be asking yourself. Shouldn't Duke be this year's "Good Luck Chuck" then? After all, he's had the most points (618.78) scored against him. Yes, this is true, but it is worth noting that Duke's 120+ point loss to Abraham in Week 3 was a huge anomaly. Losing by that much in a single week rarely happens and therefore skews the analysis. If we were to adjust for this outlier (e.g.: say Duke lost by a more respectable margin of 60 points), the rankings would look like this instead...
Putting me in the lead for the "Good Luck Chuck" title. Yay?
c) It's also interesting to see Gabs cruising down there at 388.76 points. That's about 90 points below the average. Why such a low "Pts Agnst" total for Gabs? Look at who he's played so far: David Lin (Week 1), Andrew (Week 2), Jeff (Week 3), Duke (Week 4), and Luke (Week 5). That's four of the five worst teams in our league if you look at it purely based on record.
Looking ahead though, I think it's safe to say that things are about to get a whole lot tougher for Gabs. Here are his next three opponents: Abraham (4-1), Aaron (3-2), and Eric (3-2). That's three of the top four teams in our league.
d) Andrew and Abraham bring it every week. The rest of us do not, particularly when we play them. Andrew is 20 points below the average, and Abraham is almost 50 points below the average.
5) Here are my thoughts on NFL QB and celebrity, Matt Hasselbeck, liking Tim's tweet:
Ok just kidding. Twitter bromances aside, Hasselbeck's has had a solid two weeks--495 yards, 3 TDS, 0 INTs. He's done everything the Colts have asked of him in relief of Andrew Luck. Major props.
6) Speaking of Tim, can anyone remember the last time he made the playoffs? I couldn't (LOL), so I did some research on the blog. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the last time was 2011. That's like longer than California's drought.
Luckily for Tim, he's sitting in a good position right now at 3-2. This may be his year.
7 Success in FF is dependent on two things: skill (how well you draft/manage your team) and luck/chance (how healthy your team is/who you play in your weekly match ups). The former you can control, the latter you cannot. In Week 5, we see luck altering the FF competitive landscape yet again in the form of injuries. Here is a list of the notable star players who suffered injuries last week:
-Jamaal Charles (Torn ACL) - Out for the season
-Tyrod Taylor (MCL sprain) - Fairly serious
-OBJ (Hamstring) - Not that serious
-Julio Jones (Hamstring) - Not that serious
Abraham's championship hopes just took a major hit. Charles will be difficult to replace.
8) Continuing on this point, I got curious and decided to take a look at how many teams in our league have been directly affected by injuries. And by "directly affected", I define that as an every week starter getting hurt for 3+ weeks. By my count, there are now four teams that fit this bill:
-DeEz Nuts: Big Ben
-It's a me! Mariota: Dez Bryant
-Di Yi: Tony Romo and Jamaal Charles
-DanceDothe#JULIO: LeSean McCoy
That's 33% of our league. Factor in Tyrod Taylor, who could "miss multiple weeks", and the number climbs to 42%. If you want to get really creative, you could throw in Luke's team too, whose best player Antonio Brown has not been the same ever since Big Ben went down. That's crazy to think about considering we are only about a third of the way through the NFL season.
9) If I were to ask you who the top 10 WRs are in FF right now, who would you pick?
Julio, Fitzgerald, and Hopkins are all givens...
But James Jones at #4? Travis Benjamin at #5? And Allen Robinson at #8? That's kind of surprising. Who knew they would be outplaying guys named Odell, Keenan, Megatron, Cobb, Sanders, Demaryius, Maclin, and Smith. And if you take injuries into account (DeSean, Jordy, Alshon, and Dez), you start to realize that it's really hard to pick which WRs will do well and which won't. I'll expand on this point in next week's post. Stay tuned.
(It's also worth noting that Brandon Marshall and Julian Edelman would have likely land in the top 10 if they did not have early bye weeks).
10) Did anyone watch MNF? What a gutsy play call by the Steelers to end the game. I wonder how much better Bell is going to play when Big Ben returns.
11) I'm no expert at NFL defensive formations, but I wonder why the Chargers bothered to line defenders up against the two WRs split out wide--one of them is Vick and the other is some player I can't identify. The Steelers are in the wildcat formation, so you know Bell is going to get the ball and run no matter what. Why not move another guy into the box to help out? And if on the off chance, it turns out to be a passing play, what's to say that Bell can throw the ball? Or that Vick can catch it? I know what you're thinking. It doesn't make any sense to leave a guy wide open like that, but it makes sense in my head.
12) On another note, Vick is playing well as a backup QB. If the Steelers had a stronger kicking game in Week 4, he would be 2-0 as a starter.
a) HAMAJANG (106.14) vs. Unicorn Queen (132.84)
After watching Eli, Hyde, Rawls, and Robinson go off, Tim was like this:
And I was like this:
Luck would not begin to explain it, Tim.
b) David's Team (92.00) vs. Unicorn King (118.00)
After Sunday's games ended, I was shocked to see Andrew losing to David Li.
But then I realized Andrew still had two players left--Philip Rivers and Keenan Allen.
So "Unicorn King treated [David's Team] like a Circuit City and closed them down with a comeback on Monday." Got that straight from Yahoo's recap summary. LOL. Who knew Yahoo was so funny?
c) DeEz Nuts (68.12) vs. It's a me! Mariota! (95.94)
After OBJ decided to show up this week, David Lin was like:
Mix in another dominant performance from McManus and Denver DEF vs. Oakland:
And David Lin got the win. Hooray!
d) I Called Game (68.10) vs. DanceDothe#JULIO (127.92)
Did anybody see the video of the KC Royals grounds crew kid getting swallowed up by the rain tarp the other day? I'll let you take a wild guess on who the tarp is and who the kid is.
e) SpiderPig (31.56) vs. TOUCHDOWN MACHINE (89.86)
Gabs is angry:
Because Tyrod Taylor keeps turning in all-star track performances:
And Devonta Freeman is literally ON FIRE.
Plus, you played Luke this week.
f) Di Yi (101.94) vs. Aaron Chou's Team (88.54)
After Jamaal Charles went down, Abraham was like:
But as per usual, the rest of his team (Dalton, Sanders, Chris Johnson, Gostkowski, and Arizona DEF) showed up to ready to play.
Meanwhile, Aaron's team has been in a slump the past two weeks.
3) I'm starting to feel like the FF version of "Good Luck Chuck". For those of you who aren't familiar with the movie, here's a quick synopsis from Google:
"Cursed since childhood, dentist Charlie Kagan (Dane Cook) cannot find the right woman. Even worse, he learns that each of his ex-girlfriends finds true love with the man she meets after her relationship with him ends. Hearing of Charlie's reputation as a good-luck charm, women from all over line up for a quick tryst. But when Charlie meets the woman (Jessica Alba) of his dreams, he must find a way to break the curse or risk losing her to the next man she meets."
Week 1: Rainbow Warriorz (77.86) vs. SpiderPig (117.92)
Week 2: Rainbow Warriorz (78.86) vs. Di Yi (112.30)
Week 3: Rainbow Warriorz (120.12) vs. TOUCHDOWN MACHINE (113.48)
Week 4: Rainbow Warriorz (75.86) vs. DanceDothe#JULIO (100.28)
Week 5: HAMAJANG (106.14) vs. Unicorn Queen (132.84)
What does this tell me? You should want to play me. You'll have a 100% chance of scoring 100+ points and an 80% chance of scoring 110+ points. Sure, it's all circumstantial evidence, but an interesting pattern nonetheless.
4) Let's take it a step further. Here are the 12 teams in our league ranked in descending order by "Pts Agnst".
a) As you can see, Duke and I have got it the worst and it ain't even close. Y'all have rain bucket loads of points on us. We are both 100+ points over the average. The next closest team? Luke, who is only about 12 points above the average.
b) Now you may be asking yourself. Shouldn't Duke be this year's "Good Luck Chuck" then? After all, he's had the most points (618.78) scored against him. Yes, this is true, but it is worth noting that Duke's 120+ point loss to Abraham in Week 3 was a huge anomaly. Losing by that much in a single week rarely happens and therefore skews the analysis. If we were to adjust for this outlier (e.g.: say Duke lost by a more respectable margin of 60 points), the rankings would look like this instead...
c) It's also interesting to see Gabs cruising down there at 388.76 points. That's about 90 points below the average. Why such a low "Pts Agnst" total for Gabs? Look at who he's played so far: David Lin (Week 1), Andrew (Week 2), Jeff (Week 3), Duke (Week 4), and Luke (Week 5). That's four of the five worst teams in our league if you look at it purely based on record.
Looking ahead though, I think it's safe to say that things are about to get a whole lot tougher for Gabs. Here are his next three opponents: Abraham (4-1), Aaron (3-2), and Eric (3-2). That's three of the top four teams in our league.
d) Andrew and Abraham bring it every week. The rest of us do not, particularly when we play them. Andrew is 20 points below the average, and Abraham is almost 50 points below the average.
5) Here are my thoughts on NFL QB and celebrity, Matt Hasselbeck, liking Tim's tweet:
6) Speaking of Tim, can anyone remember the last time he made the playoffs? I couldn't (LOL), so I did some research on the blog. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the last time was 2011. That's like longer than California's drought.
7 Success in FF is dependent on two things: skill (how well you draft/manage your team) and luck/chance (how healthy your team is/who you play in your weekly match ups). The former you can control, the latter you cannot. In Week 5, we see luck altering the FF competitive landscape yet again in the form of injuries. Here is a list of the notable star players who suffered injuries last week:
-Jamaal Charles (Torn ACL) - Out for the season
-Tyrod Taylor (MCL sprain) - Fairly serious
-OBJ (Hamstring) - Not that serious
-Julio Jones (Hamstring) - Not that serious
Abraham's championship hopes just took a major hit. Charles will be difficult to replace.
8) Continuing on this point, I got curious and decided to take a look at how many teams in our league have been directly affected by injuries. And by "directly affected", I define that as an every week starter getting hurt for 3+ weeks. By my count, there are now four teams that fit this bill:
-DeEz Nuts: Big Ben
-It's a me! Mariota: Dez Bryant
-Di Yi: Tony Romo and Jamaal Charles
-DanceDothe#JULIO: LeSean McCoy
That's 33% of our league. Factor in Tyrod Taylor, who could "miss multiple weeks", and the number climbs to 42%. If you want to get really creative, you could throw in Luke's team too, whose best player Antonio Brown has not been the same ever since Big Ben went down. That's crazy to think about considering we are only about a third of the way through the NFL season.
9) If I were to ask you who the top 10 WRs are in FF right now, who would you pick?
Julio, Fitzgerald, and Hopkins are all givens...
But James Jones at #4? Travis Benjamin at #5? And Allen Robinson at #8? That's kind of surprising. Who knew they would be outplaying guys named Odell, Keenan, Megatron, Cobb, Sanders, Demaryius, Maclin, and Smith. And if you take injuries into account (DeSean, Jordy, Alshon, and Dez), you start to realize that it's really hard to pick which WRs will do well and which won't. I'll expand on this point in next week's post. Stay tuned.
(It's also worth noting that Brandon Marshall and Julian Edelman would have likely land in the top 10 if they did not have early bye weeks).
10) Did anyone watch MNF? What a gutsy play call by the Steelers to end the game. I wonder how much better Bell is going to play when Big Ben returns.
11) I'm no expert at NFL defensive formations, but I wonder why the Chargers bothered to line defenders up against the two WRs split out wide--one of them is Vick and the other is some player I can't identify. The Steelers are in the wildcat formation, so you know Bell is going to get the ball and run no matter what. Why not move another guy into the box to help out? And if on the off chance, it turns out to be a passing play, what's to say that Bell can throw the ball? Or that Vick can catch it? I know what you're thinking. It doesn't make any sense to leave a guy wide open like that, but it makes sense in my head.
12) On another note, Vick is playing well as a backup QB. If the Steelers had a stronger kicking game in Week 4, he would be 2-0 as a starter.
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